The Lastest Macroeconomic News
22.02.2018 19:49 Cybercrime drains $600 billion a year from the global economy, says report
Global businesses are losing the equivalent of nearly one percent of global GDP (Gross Domestic Product) a year to cybercrime, and it`s impacting job creation, innovation and economic growth. So says a report from cybersecurity firm McAfee and the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), which estimates that cybercrime costs the global economy $600 billion a year -- up from a 2014 study which put the figure at $445bn. The cost of cybercrime amounts to 0.8 percent of global GDP, with the $155bn jump since 2014 attributed to the speed with which new technology is adopted by cybercriminals and an increase in the number of internet users in parts of the world with weak cybersecurity.
18.02.2018 20:43 Bitcoin price predictions 2018: Bitcoin will reach $25,000 in 2018 and $125,000 by 2022
Bitcoin predictions 2018. With the Bitcoin rising above $ 10,000, most of the analysts are pretty bullish on the cryptocurrency. Also, many analysts are predicting much higher prices for Bitcoin by the end of 2018. According to a Bitcoin investor, Tom Lee Bitcoin is slated to reach almost $ 25,000 by the end of 2018. He further thinks that it will rise to $ 125000 by 2022. These numbers are quite bullish. According to a report by Fundstrat Global Advisors, the recovery in Bitcoin will be pretty fierce as well. Also, most of the experts believe that by the month of July, there will be a complete recovery. After that, Bitcoin will again be able to head to newer highs as well. This is the reason why many investors think that it will be able to hit new highs consistently during the 2nd half of the year.
14.02.2018 14:07 Japan GDP growth slows in Q4
Japan`s economic expansion slowed in the three months through December, according to an initial estimate, nonetheless ringing up an eighth consecutive quarter of growth and the longest streak since a 12-quarter stretch that ended in 1989. A preliminary reading on gross domestic product from Japan`s Cabinet Office reported annualised growth of 0.5 per cent in the third quarter, falling from a pace of 2.5 per cent in the third quarter and coming in below a median forecast of 0.9 per cent from economists polled by Reuters. Quarter-on-quarter GDP rose just 0.1 per cent per cent, slowing from a 0.3 per cent rise in the quarter ended September. Domestic demand grew 0.1 per cent compared to the previous quarter as private consumption registered a 0.5 per cent rise, exiting contraction after a fall of 0.6 per cent in the third quarter. Capital expenditure growth of 0.7 per cent quarter on quarter came up short against expectations of a 1.1 per cent rise. External demand was little help, remaining unchanged from a quarter prior but in line with expectations as exports registered a 2.4 per cent sequential rise and imports climbed 2.9 per cent.
11.02.2018 19:32 AI to contribute $320b to Middle East GDP by 2030
Artificial Intelligence (AI) will contribute $320 billion (Dh1.2 trillion) to the Middle East economy by 2030, equivalent to 11 per cent of GDP, PwC Middle East`s report shows. The most significant relative gains in the region are expected in the UAE where AI is expected to contribute almost 14% of GDP in 2030. This is followed by Saudi Arabia (12.4 per cent), the other GCC countries (8.2 per cent) and then Egypt (7.7 per cent). The report outlines that there are greater, untapped opportunities that could increase the impact of AI on the region`s economy, moreover the impact could be even larger if governments continue to push the boundaries of innovation and implementation of AI across businesses and sectors between now and 2030. Globally, PwC analysis has shown that AI could contribute up to $15.7 trillion to the global economy in 2030, more than the current output of China and India combined. Of this, labour productivity improvements are expected to account for half of all economic gains to 2030, while increased consumer demand resulting from AI-enabled product enhancements will account for the rest.
07.02.2018 15:23 Russia`s Economic Stagnation Is Here to Stay
In the early days of 2018, the Russian economy is stagnating. This is no statistical blip: the average annual growth rate in 2008-2017 for Russia was just 1.2%. Last year, Russia`s GDP-growth rate was 1.5%, compared to 2.5% in the Eurozone and 2.3% in the United States Ц both developed economies that should be growing 2-3 percentage points slower than a developing economy like Russia. And, as the Russian economic ministry, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund all recognize, this poor performance seems likely to continue. Boosting Russia`s growth will be possible only with deep structural reforms, because the economy is stagnating at full capacity. With unemployment at around 5.5% for the fifth consecutive year Ц a rate that almost any developed country would envy Ц there are few unemployed to be put to work. Likewise, capacity utilization in manufacturing is roughly at the same level as in the previous two peaks (2007-2008 and 2013), meaning that there is almost no spare capacity to be put to use.
05.02.2018 21:57 NBU estimates Ukraine`s GDP growth at 2.1 pct in 2017
Ukraine`s gross domestic product (GDP) grew 2.1 percent in 2017 on the back of increased consumption of goods and services in the local market, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) said Friday in an estimate. "Domestic demand continued to be the main driver of the real GDP growth," the NBU said in a report, noting that the demand was spurred by increased wages. Other major factors contributing to the GDP increase were growing investment, improved business expectations and solid corporate earnings. The final figures for last year`s economic performance will be delivered later by the State Statistics Service. Ukraine`s economy grew 2.3 percent in 2016 after two years of contraction.
02.02.2018 18:49 Russia`s GDP grows 1.5% in 2017, below official 2.1% target
Russia`s GDP increased by 1.5% in 2017 to RUB92.08 trillion ($1.64 trillion), according to the first estimate of RosStat statistics agency published on February 1. This confirms previous concerns that de facto recession on the output side in the second half of 2017 undermined the growth. Official government`s forecast for GDP growth last year was 2.1% after 0.2% decline seen in 2016. GDP growth also underpeformed the market consensus, with the analysts surveyed by Reuters expecting 1.7% growth last year. Thirteen of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg also predicted higher growth in the range of 1.6-1.9%.
31.01.2018 19:53 India to regain top global GDP growth spot in 2018-19
Economic growth in India is forecast to beat out last year. The emerging economy is thus on track to regain the title of the world`s fastest growing major economy, once again overtaking China. India published its latest economic survey on Monday which included a forecast of GDP growth between 7 and 7.5 percent for the financial year 2018-2019, up from the 2017-2018 growth forecast of 6.75 percent, a three-year low. The survey, an annual document released by the Ministry of Finance, reviews the developments in the Indian economy over the previous 12 months and provides the basis for the federal budget, which is due to be introduced in parliament on Thursday, the last by the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi before general elections next year.
28.01.2018 11:11 US GDP expands at a weaker-than-expected 2.6% pace in Q4
US economic growth undershot economists` expectations in the fourth quarter with GDP expanding at the slowest rate since the start of 2017, data released on Friday showed. Gross domestic product climbed at an annualized pace of 2.6 per cent in the October to December period, marking the slowest pace of growth since the first quarter of 2017, the Commerce Department said. That missed economists` expectations for 3 per cent growth, according to a Thomson Reuters poll. The decline also snuffed out hopes for the first nine-month stretch of US GDP growth of 3 per cent or more in consecutive quarters. The slowdown in the rate of expansion reflected a drag from inventories and trade - as imports climbed at double the rate of exports - that offset strength in consumer spending, which climbed at a 3.8 per cent rate. The report also showed an uptick in government spending, which climbed at a 3 per cent pace, amid post-hurricane rebuilding efforts.
27.01.2018 20:32 Russian real wages miss forecast, industrial output falls in December
Real wages in Russia rose less than expected in December and industrial output continued to fall, data showed on Thursday, putting pressure on the economy and living standards ahead of a presidential election in March. Russia`s oil-dependent economy began a fragile recovery in 2017 after two years of recession, triggered by a sharp drop in global commodity prices as well as sanctions imposed by Western countries against Moscow for its role in the Ukraine crisis. But gross domestic product unexpectedly contracted in November, hit by a drop in industrial production. Russia`s industrial output fell 1.5 percent year on year in December, while real wages increased 4.6 percent. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected that real wages, which are adjusted for inflation, would rise 5.2 percent.